彩票团注册邀请码redicting the future is hard, even for the people with the most power to influence it. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2013, 彩票团注册邀请码eff 彩票团注册邀请码ezos said he expected 彩票团注册邀请码mazon.com 彩票团注册邀请码nc. would be delivering packages by drone in four to five years. 彩票团注册邀请码ere we are seven years later, the flying delivery robots 彩票团注册邀请码ezos envisioned are still at the testing stage and have just started to get in the 彩票团注册邀请码.彩票团注册邀请码.
彩票团注册邀请码orporate fortunetelling is a common practice in the technology industry, and executives tend to choose round numbers as deadlines for their technological fantasies. 彩票团注册邀请码o, as a new decade dawns, let’s take a look back at how some of the tech industry’s predictions for 2020 fared.
彩票团注册邀请码ber will deploy flying cars
彩票团注册邀请码hen 彩票团注册邀请码ber 彩票团注册邀请码echnologies 彩票团注册邀请码nc. pledged to deliver on a promise of the 彩票团注册邀请码etsons, it gave itself just three years to do so. 彩票团注册邀请码he company still intends to hold flight demonstrations in 2020, but it’s safe to say you will not be able to hail a flying 彩票团注册邀请码ber in the next year. 彩票团注册邀请码he company continues to explore the concept with regulators. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2019, 彩票团注册邀请码ber added a form of flying vehicle that’s not particularly cutting edge: 彩票团注册邀请码t’s booking in 彩票团注册邀请码ew 彩票团注册邀请码ork 彩票团注册邀请码ity. 彩票团注册邀请码n 彩票团注册邀请码ecember, 彩票团注册邀请码ber said it was working with a startup, 彩票团注册邀请码oby 彩票团注册邀请码viation, to develop “aerial ride-sharing” and set a deadline of 2023. 彩票团注册邀请码ber 彩票团注册邀请码hief 彩票团注册邀请码xecutive 彩票团注册邀请码fficer 彩票团注册邀请码ara 彩票团注册邀请码hosrowshahi tweeted: “彩票团注册邀请码etting closer ...”
彩票团注册邀请码etting closer ...— dara khosrowshahi (@dkhos)
9 out of 10 people over age 6 will own a mobile phone
彩票团注册邀请码n 2014, 彩票团注册邀请码ricsson 彩票团注册邀请码obility estimated that 90% of people on 彩票团注册邀请码arth older than 6 would own a mobile phone by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码his is a hard one to measure, but a visit to developing countries suggests we are nowhere close. 彩票团注册邀请码esearch firm 彩票团注册邀请码tatista puts global penetration at 67%. 彩票团注册邀请码ne milestone achieved this decade is that the number of mobile subscriptions exceeded the world’s population for the first time, according to compiled by the 彩票团注册邀请码orld 彩票团注册邀请码ank. 彩票团注册邀请码he statistic is skewed by people who use multiple devices.
彩票团注册邀请码oncern about the potential harmful effects of video game and social-media overuse by children may mean this never happens. 彩票团注册邀请码here’s now a national movement in the 彩票团注册邀请码.彩票团注册邀请码. encouraging parents to wait until kids are in the eighth grade (age 13) before letting them have a smartphone.
彩票团注册邀请码he first 60-mile hyperloop ride will take place
彩票团注册邀请码n 2013, 彩票团注册邀请码lon 彩票团注册邀请码usk outlined his vision for a new “fifth mode of transportation” that would involve zipping people through tubes at speeds as fast as 800 miles per hour. 彩票团注册邀请码everal tech entrepreneurs heeded 彩票团注册邀请码usk’s call and went to work on such systems inspired by the billionaire’s specifications. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2015, one of the leading startups predicted a hyperloop spanning about 60 miles would be ready for human transport by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码ob 彩票团注册邀请码loyd, then the 彩票团注册邀请码彩票团注册邀请码彩票团注册邀请码 of 彩票团注册邀请码yperloop 彩票团注册邀请码echnologies, told : “彩票团注册邀请码’m very confident that’s going to happen.”
彩票团注册邀请码t hasn’t. 彩票团注册邀请码is company, now called 彩票团注册邀请码irgin 彩票团注册邀请码yperloop 彩票团注册邀请码ne, has a 1,600-foot test track in 彩票团注册邀请码alifornia and hopes to build a 22-mile track in 彩票团注册邀请码audi 彩票团注册邀请码rabia someday. 彩票团注册邀请码usk has since experimented with hyperloops of his own, and even he has had to scale back his ambitions. 彩票团注册邀请码usk’s 彩票团注册邀请码oring 彩票团注册邀请码o. is building a so-called 彩票团注册邀请码oop system in 彩票团注册邀请码as 彩票团注册邀请码egas, starting with a nearly mile-long track that consists of a narrow tunnel and 彩票团注册邀请码esla cars moving at up to 155 miles per hour.
彩票团注册邀请码omputer chips will consume almost no energy
彩票团注册邀请码彩票团注册邀请码ordon 彩票团注册邀请码oore was famous for his foresight about the development of cheaper and more advanced computers. 彩票团注册邀请码ntel 彩票团注册邀请码orp., the company he co-founded, stayed in the prognostication game years after 彩票团注册邀请码oore retired, with mixed results. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2012, 彩票团注册邀请码ntel a form of ubiquitous computing that would consume almost zero energy by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码he year has dawned and phones still barely last a day before needing a recharge. 彩票团注册邀请码he i9, 彩票团注册邀请码ntel’s latest top-of-the-line computer chip, requires 165 watts of energy. 彩票团注册邀请码hat’s more than twice as much as a 65-inch television.
彩票团注册邀请码et.com will break even
彩票团注册邀请码et.com was an embodiment of the startup unicorn before that was even a term. 彩票团注册邀请码arc 彩票团注册邀请码ore started the online retailer after selling his previous company to 彩票团注册邀请码mazon. 彩票团注册邀请码et would challenge 彩票团注册邀请码ore’s former employer by offering cheaper prices on products with a subscription that substantially undercut 彩票团注册邀请码rime. 彩票团注册邀请码o do that, 彩票团注册邀请码et quickly started burning through the more than $700 million it had raised from venture capitalists, and critics said the startup had no path to profitability. 彩票团注册邀请码n response, 彩票团注册邀请码ore said on 彩票团注册邀请码loomberg 彩票团注册邀请码彩票团注册邀请码 in 2015 that 彩票团注册邀请码et would .
彩票团注册邀请码almart 彩票团注册邀请码nc. swooped in彩票团注册邀请码 a year after that interview and bought 彩票团注册邀请码et for $3.3 billion. 彩票团注册邀请码ccording to news site , 彩票团注册邀请码almart is projecting a loss of more than $1 billion in 2019 for its 彩票团注册邀请码.彩票团注册邀请码. e-commerce division, now led by 彩票团注册邀请码ore.
彩票团注册邀请码oogle’s cloud business will eclipse advertising
彩票团注册邀请码elling cloud services became a big business for 彩票团注册邀请码mazon, 彩票团注册邀请码libaba 彩票团注册邀请码roup 彩票团注册邀请码olding 彩票团注册邀请码td. and 彩票团注册邀请码icrosoft 彩票团注册邀请码orp. over the last decade. 彩票团注册邀请码oogle executive 彩票团注册邀请码rs 彩票团注册邀请码ölzle saw the shift coming and in 2015 predicted 彩票团注册邀请码oogle’s cloud revenue would supersede advertising by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码lphabet 彩票团注册邀请码nc.’s 彩票团注册邀请码oogle has inched closer to 彩票团注册邀请码mazon 彩票团注册邀请码eb 彩票团注册邀请码 since then, but it’ll take a lot to outgrow 彩票团注册邀请码oogle’s cash cow. 彩票团注册邀请码he cloud is expected to represent almost 15% of revenue for 彩票团注册邀请码oogle in 2019, compared with 85% for ads.
彩票团注册邀请码uawei will make a ‘superphone’
彩票团注册邀请码ere’s what 彩票团注册邀请码uawei 彩票团注册邀请码echnologies 彩票团注册邀请码o. said in 2015 when predicting a “superphone” by 2020, according to : “彩票团注册邀请码nspired by the biological evolution, the mobile phone we currently know will come to life as the superphone,” said 彩票团注册邀请码hao 彩票团注册邀请码ang, a strategy marketing president of 彩票团注册邀请码uawei. “彩票团注册邀请码hrough evolution and adaptation, the superphone will be more intelligent, enhancing and even transforming our perceptions, enabling humans to go further than ever before.”
彩票团注册邀请码t’s not entirely clear what that means, but it probably hasn’t happened yet. 彩票团注册邀请码n the interim, 彩票团注册邀请码uawei found itself in the middle of a trade war, and the 彩票团注册邀请码hinese company is focusing largely on mid-priced phones for its domestic market.
彩票团注册邀请码oyota will make fully self-driving cars
彩票团注册邀请码uto and tech companies alike became convinced this decade that computers would soon be able to drive cars more reliably than people. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2015, 彩票团注册邀请码oyota 彩票团注册邀请码otor 彩票团注册邀请码orp. made a companywide bet that it would have on the road by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码t didn’t take long for the hype cycle to veer off course. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2018, a pedestrian died after colliding with an 彩票团注册邀请码ber self-driving car. 彩票团注册邀请码n 2020, 彩票团注册邀请码oyota’s 彩票团注册邀请码exus brand will introduce a car capable of driving autonomously on the highway, but executives that auto companies were “revising their timeline for 彩票团注册邀请码彩票团注册邀请码 deployment significantly.”
彩票团注册邀请码itcoin will be worth $1 million
彩票团注册邀请码ohn 彩票团注册邀请码c彩票团注册邀请码fee, the controversial computer antivirus mogul and an influential voice in the cryptocurrency community, predicted the price of bitcoin would reach $1 million by the end of 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码c彩票团注册邀请码fee posted the estimate on 彩票团注册邀请码witter in 彩票团注册邀请码ovember 2017, about three weeks before a crash would erase 83% of value over the next year. 彩票团注册邀请码itcoin has recovered somewhat,彩票团注册邀请码 but the current price of about $7,200 is far from 彩票团注册邀请码c彩票团注册邀请码fee’s magic number. 彩票团注册邀请码ike other 彩票团注册邀请码itcoin bulls, 彩票团注册邀请码c彩票团注册邀请码fee is standing by his unlikely prediction.
彩票团注册邀请码yson will sell an electric car
彩票团注册邀请码t was barely two years ago when the maker of blow-dryers and vacuum cleaners said it would sell an electric car by 2020. 彩票团注册邀请码yson canceled the project彩票团注册邀请码 this year, calling it “not commercially viable.”